ARC Forecast & Outlook 081207

Bootlegger of Mann
Frank Newton
Sat 8 Dec 2007 10:52
Our Weather - who ever said this was about enjoying yourself?

Last couple of days and last night was the worst weather I've
experienced at sea ... We are in SW Kate by the way


Highs centred over Azores with another near 42N 43W. Weak
cold front in between the highs will decay over next 24 hrs as the main
high becomes centred near 442N 33W by Sun 00Z. A concentrated area of
heavy, showery
and thundery rain is
currently bounded between these coordinates and will be slowly drifting
west over the next 48 hrs. 26N 54W TO 26N 52W TO 17N 45W AND 15N 53W.
Scattered thunderstorms are also west of this area. Much higher gusts
will be found in and around these squally showers with gusts possible in
excess of 50 kts. A surface trough developing over western Africa is
expected to move west in the flow and is forecast to lie along 30W by
Mon 12Z.

Nxt 24 hours to 09/1200

ELLIE
Winds: E 20-25 isold
30 for a time bcmg ENE 20 later (higher gusts around showers)
Seas: 8-10ft decr
6-8ft in far E after 09/06Z
Wx: Sct squally showers with sunny spells
Vis: G, M in showers

KATE
W: N of 24: E 15-20.
S of 24: E 20-25 (higher gusts around showers)
S: 8-10ft ocnl
10-12ft till 09/00Z in W
Wx: Area of heavy
thundery rain in SW Quad (see above). Sct squalls elsewhere
V: G, M or loc P in
showers/rain

OLGA
W: N of 17: E
20. S of 17: ESE 10-15 (higher gusts
around showers)
S: 8-10ft patchy
8-10ft in N
Wx: Heavy, thundery
rain in E drifting W. Sct thunderstorms in W
V: G, M or P in showers/rain
TESS
W: NE 20 then decr E
10 aft 09/06Z (higher gusts around showers)
S: 7-9ft
Wx: Sct thunderstorms/showers, these may become more
numerous later
V: G, M or P in showers

Further 24 hours to 10/ 12Z
ELLIE
W: E 15-20 decr ENE
10 aft 10/06Z
S: W: 8-10ft decr
6-8ft. E: 6-8ft
Wx: Isold squally showers (higher gusts around showers)
V: G, M in any
showers

KATE
W: N of 25: E 10-15
then NE 15 later. S of 25: E 20 bcmg
ENE 15-20 aft 10/00Z (higher gusts around showers)
S: 8-10ft
Wx: Area of heavy
showers, rain with risk of thunder in SW Quad slowly clearing W, still
sct squalls just about anywhere with sunny spells
V: G, M or loc P in
showers

OLGA
W: N of 19: E
20. S of 19: SE 10-15 (higher gusts
around showers)
S: N: 8-10ft. S: 6-8ft
Wx: Heavy
showers/rain with thunderstorms, perhaps dry in the SW Quad
V: M or P in showers/rain

TESS
W: N: ENE 15. S: ESE 10 (higher gusts around showers)
S: N: 8-10ft. S: 6-8ft
Wx: Heavy
showers/rain with thunderstorms
V: M or P in showers/rain

ENDS

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