There's a storm coming 42:46.5N 11:14.5W

Ellatrout3
Sat 21 May 2016 16:51
There is a storm coming! A deep depression heading for the Bay of Biscay with forecast winds of 30 to 40Kts. Sarah and Niall had been telling me they could see this storm over the last few days. Well it finally took shape yesterday, now I was connected, and I extended my weather forecast further west and saw the size of the thing coming. I also got reports of other Jesters retiring and heading back to Blighty for shelter.
I then had a very uncomfortable few hours going over my options, I couldn't see any way it coud miss me. Carrying on to the Azores and it would pass right over me and I would have to take what came. Not a happy thought having been in one before. I started to look at my options:
  1. I was within 100 miles of the north west Spanish coast; I have no Spaish area charts, there are basic features on the chart plotter but no detail. It did not look inviting, although I did look at getting behind Cape Finistere which looks good for protection from the East, North and West but is open to the south and therefore dangerous for the first half of the storm.
  2. Go back into the Bay of Biscay and look for shelter there. I do have detailed French charts but I couldn't get away from the idea of approaching a strange place at night with a storm behid me and a lee shore.
  3. Stay out and head for Terceira and batton down the hatches as it arrived, laying on my drogue, if necessary, until it passes.
  4. Run south or north to try to avoid it. Although north was with the wind it was a lot further. The southern edge was definitely nearer but a slow beat to windward.
I the meantime Sarah sent a text to say she had looked at every weather site she could find and the concensus was head south to avoid the worst, at the time I was heading west to get maximum sea room to lay on my sea anchor. The current wind would allow me to set a course east of south, give up some sea room and maybe miss it, especially if it turned north a little into the Bay of Biscay. So that is what I decided.
 
I had a good run overnight averaging 4 to 5 knots, and achieving a heading of 150 degres. Unforunately this afternoon the wind has gone light and only now managing 2 to 3kts. My latest estimate suggests I have a chance of missing the front of the storm, i.e. the southerly and westerly winds, but not sure about the northerly winds at the back as the low seems to be changing shape. I can get a fresh forecast tonight which will let me look another 12 hours ahead. I feel far more comfortable at sea with plenty of sea room than close to land. Currently 100 miles of the Spansh coast.
 
Fingers crossed,
 
Poppa/Dad/Roger